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Red122
246850.2
732110.9
750617.3
Blue54
65269.1
750317.6
380231.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6865020408010012014012254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.23.4
42.545.9
Auto10.6
Teleop29.4
End10.2
red by 18.9
31.31.1
32.030.9
Auto12.2
Teleop12.8
End6.3
Second
7506
#22
17.33.1
13.216.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.5
End4.6
blue by 0.3
7503
#13
17.61.0
18.517.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End5.0
Third
7321
#27
10.93.1
8.011.1
Auto4.5
Teleop2.5
End3.9
red by 1.8
6526
#30
9.11.1
10.79.7
Auto5.3
Teleop1.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsMissed