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Red50
568214.5
915623.1
268929.2
Blue109
258241.6
557229.4
464121.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69892040608010012014050109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2689
#10
29.21.4
27.426.0
Auto9.3
Teleop13.8
End6.0
blue by 12.4
41.62.5
34.837.3
Auto9.8
Teleop24.5
End7.3
Second
9156
#16
23.11.4
25.123.7
Auto8.2
Teleop10.2
End4.7
blue by 6.2
29.42.3
27.129.4
Auto11.0
Teleop11.4
End6.9
Third
5682
#23
14.51.5
14.813.2
Auto1.9
Teleop8.9
End3.8
blue by 7.1
21.62.3
18.921.2
Auto6.6
Teleop6.1
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
34%Activation oddsMissed57%Activation oddsEarned