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Red67
750317.6
268929.2
174536.0
Blue24
676812.2
65269.1
712119.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58622040801006724

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.01.3
19.220.5
Auto4.9
Teleop22.4
End8.7
red by 16.3
7121
#14
19.73.8
25.021.2
Auto7.6
Teleop5.0
End7.1
Second
2689
#10
29.21.3
21.022.4
Auto9.3
Teleop13.8
End6.0
red by 16.9
6768
#29
12.23.8
17.013.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.0
End3.8
Third
7503
#13
17.61.3
14.716.1
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End5.0
red by 8.5
6526
#30
9.13.8
15.912.1
Auto5.3
Teleop1.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsMissed