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Red63
732110.9
541730.5
915623.1
Blue107
380231.3
881611.0
300559.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4474020608010012014063107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5417
#24
30.51.4
18.019.4
Auto6.4
Teleop16.8
End7.3
blue by 28.6
59.13.5
30.333.8
Auto10.7
Teleop39.3
End9.1
Second
9156
#16
23.11.4
15.917.3
Auto8.2
Teleop10.2
End4.7
blue by 8.2
31.33.5
21.324.8
Auto12.2
Teleop12.8
End6.3
Third
7321
#27
10.91.4
11.512.9
Auto4.5
Teleop2.5
End3.9
blue by 0.1
8816
#18
11.03.5
13.817.4
Auto1.7
Teleop6.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsMissed33%Activation oddsEarned