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Red149
568214.5
246850.2
300559.1
Blue110
258241.6
908820.2
174536.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1339450150200149110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.10.7
57.858.4
Auto10.7
Teleop39.3
End9.1
red by 17.5
41.60.4
39.940.3
Auto9.8
Teleop24.5
End7.3
Second
50.20.7
48.849.5
Auto10.6
Teleop29.4
End10.2
red by 14.2
36.00.4
34.534.9
Auto4.9
Teleop22.4
End8.7
Third
5682
#23
14.50.7
13.113.8
Auto1.9
Teleop8.9
End3.8
blue by 5.7
9088
#21
20.20.4
18.719.1
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End4.1