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Red66
915623.1
380231.3
268731.6
Blue70
557229.4
419230.4
887417.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95840501506670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.5
32.131.6
Auto8.7
Teleop16.4
End6.5
red by 1.3
30.40.2
31.431.1
Auto5.6
Teleop18.3
End6.5
Second
31.30.5
31.931.3
Auto12.2
Teleop12.8
End6.3
red by 2.0
29.40.2
30.430.1
Auto11.0
Teleop11.4
End6.9
Third
9156
#16
23.10.5
23.623.1
Auto8.2
Teleop10.2
End4.7
red by 5.9
8874
#17
17.20.2
18.218.0
Auto0.1
Teleop12.3
End4.8