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Red111
464121.6
541730.5
129629.0
Blue112
268929.2
543128.1
885822.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8581050100150111112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5417
#24
30.50.6
29.930.5
Auto6.4
Teleop16.8
End7.3
red by 1.3
2689
#10
29.20.7
28.028.7
Auto9.3
Teleop13.8
End6.0
Second
1296
#11
29.00.6
28.529.0
Auto8.1
Teleop12.3
End8.7
red by 0.9
5431
#19
28.10.7
27.027.7
Auto8.1
Teleop11.9
End8.1
Third
21.60.6
21.021.6
Auto6.6
Teleop6.1
End8.8
blue by 1.1
8858
#20
22.70.7
21.622.3
Auto2.9
Teleop15.1
End4.7