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Red129
174536.0
908820.2
258241.6
Blue82
268731.6
380231.3
915623.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions989340608012014016018012982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.60.7
39.239.9
Auto9.8
Teleop24.5
End7.3
red by 10.0
31.60.1
32.332.1
Auto8.7
Teleop16.4
End6.5
Second
36.00.6
33.934.5
Auto4.9
Teleop22.4
End8.7
red by 4.7
31.30.1
32.031.9
Auto12.2
Teleop12.8
End6.3
Third
9088
#21
20.20.6
18.118.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End4.1
blue by 2.9
9156
#16
23.10.1
23.723.6
Auto8.2
Teleop10.2
End4.7