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Red45
753414.2
561321.8
910533.7
Blue48
874932.6
419227.1
727113.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53710204060801001201404548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9105
#21
33.731.7
47.115.4
Auto8.5
Teleop18.1
End7.1
red by 1.1
32.61.1
16.315.2
Auto5.8
Teleop19.9
End7.0
Second
5613
#30
21.81.3
18.116.7
Auto2.5
Teleop12.7
End6.6
blue by 5.4
4192
#16
27.11.1
30.429.3
Auto5.4
Teleop16.4
End5.3
Third
7534
#13
14.21.3
17.115.8
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End5.6
red by 1.0
7271
#31
13.21.8
17.515.7
Auto3.6
Teleop2.8
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed59%Activation oddsMissed