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Red123
885831.5
271441.1
667260.7
Blue106
912838.9
331050.8
915629.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99101708090110120130123106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.71.8
42.844.5
Auto17.0
Teleop36.0
End7.6
red by 9.9
50.81.6
34.135.7
Auto13.3
Teleop31.7
End5.6
Second
41.11.8
31.232.9
Auto12.5
Teleop21.8
End6.7
red by 2.2
9128
#28
38.91.0
34.335.3
Auto7.7
Teleop26.1
End5.1
Third
8858
#10
31.51.8
22.724.5
Auto5.6
Teleop17.7
End8.2
red by 2.1
9156
#23
29.41.0
23.124.1
Auto10.1
Teleop13.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsMissed