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Red38
753414.2
42518.5
419227.1
Blue89
667260.7
732118.9
697418.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62882040801001201401603889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4192
#16
27.11.9
29.227.3
Auto5.4
Teleop16.4
End5.3
blue by 33.5
60.70.7
49.950.5
Auto17.0
Teleop36.0
End7.6
Second
7534
#13
14.23.2
19.516.4
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End5.6
blue by 4.8
7321
#11
18.90.7
12.613.3
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End3.6
Third
4251
#34
8.53.2
12.79.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.5
End2.1
blue by 9.8
6974
#25
18.31.1
16.717.8
Auto4.5
Teleop10.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed39%Activation oddsMissed