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Red110
711916.3
908022.8
420639.6
Blue36
92998.4
881612.7
636925.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6858020408010012014011036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.62.2
37.940.1
Auto9.9
Teleop21.8
End7.9
red by 14.6
6369
#18
25.02.7
25.723.0
Auto7.2
Teleop10.4
End7.4
Second
9080
#19
22.83.6
15.419.0
Auto3.6
Teleop12.3
End7.0
red by 10.1
8816
#29
12.71.6
8.36.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End4.3
Third
7119
#26
16.32.2
8.911.1
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End2.6
red by 8.0
9299
#33
8.42.7
21.318.6
Auto5.1
Teleop2.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsEarned29%Activation oddsMissed