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Red54
65269.4
14849.6
420639.6
Blue131
910533.7
667260.7
753520.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112101608012014016018054131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#5
49.65.5
51.045.5
Auto13.8
Teleop25.0
End10.9
blue by 11.0
60.71.3
53.454.7
Auto17.0
Teleop36.0
End7.6
Second
39.63.3
41.137.7
Auto9.9
Teleop21.8
End7.9
red by 5.8
9105
#21
33.72.2
21.023.2
Auto8.5
Teleop18.1
End7.1
Third
6526
#32
9.43.3
11.88.5
Auto2.9
Teleop2.8
End3.8
blue by 10.9
7535
#12
20.32.2
21.824.0
Auto5.6
Teleop11.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed22%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsMissed50%Activation oddsMissed