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Red40
732118.9
881612.7
464122.8
Blue106
271441.1
415328.3
753414.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329102040608010012014040106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4641
#17
22.80.2
16.917.0
Auto8.4
Teleop6.7
End7.7
blue by 18.3
41.11.9
36.638.4
Auto12.5
Teleop21.8
End6.7
Second
7321
#11
18.90.2
12.813.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End3.6
blue by 9.4
28.33.1
26.629.7
Auto7.1
Teleop12.1
End9.2
Third
8816
#29
12.70.2
7.67.8
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End4.3
blue by 1.5
7534
#13
14.23.1
14.717.8
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
22%Activation oddsMissed81%Activation oddsEarned