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Red112
908022.8
420639.6
874932.6
Blue75
908831.4
543128.9
750623.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1038840608012014016018011275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.60.4
39.439.8
Auto9.9
Teleop21.8
End7.9
red by 8.2
9088
#20
31.40.3
31.731.4
Auto5.5
Teleop19.8
End6.0
Second
32.60.4
32.532.9
Auto5.8
Teleop19.9
End7.0
red by 3.8
5431
#15
28.90.3
29.228.9
Auto9.0
Teleop14.2
End5.6
Third
9080
#19
22.80.4
22.723.1
Auto3.6
Teleop12.3
End7.0
blue by 0.5
23.40.3
23.723.4
Auto6.0
Teleop13.1
End4.3