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Red154
667260.7
561321.8
300568.8
Blue118
271441.1
331050.8
915629.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167121100150200154118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.80.1
68.768.8
Auto14.9
Teleop44.8
End9.0
red by 18.0
50.80.1
50.750.5
Auto13.3
Teleop31.7
End5.6
Second
60.70.1
60.660.7
Auto17.0
Teleop36.0
End7.6
red by 19.6
41.10.1
41.040.9
Auto12.5
Teleop21.8
End6.7
Third
5613
#30
21.80.1
21.721.8
Auto2.5
Teleop12.7
End6.6
blue by 7.7
9156
#23
29.40.1
29.329.2
Auto10.1
Teleop13.2
End6.0