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Red140
910533.7
14849.6
912838.9
Blue102
908831.4
543128.9
750623.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1288350100150200140102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#5
49.60.6
47.147.6
Auto13.8
Teleop25.0
End10.9
red by 18.2
9088
#20
31.40.4
31.331.7
Auto5.5
Teleop19.8
End6.0
Second
9128
#28
38.90.6
36.336.9
Auto7.7
Teleop26.1
End5.1
red by 10.0
5431
#15
28.90.4
28.829.2
Auto9.0
Teleop14.2
End5.6
Third
9105
#21
33.70.6
31.131.7
Auto8.5
Teleop18.1
End7.1
red by 10.3
23.40.4
23.323.8
Auto6.0
Teleop13.1
End4.3