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Red126
915629.4
331050.8
271441.1
Blue117
885831.5
636925.0
419227.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1337750100150200126117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.80.2
50.150.3
Auto13.3
Teleop31.7
End5.6
red by 19.2
8858
#10
31.50.7
30.030.7
Auto5.6
Teleop17.7
End8.2
Second
41.10.2
40.440.6
Auto12.5
Teleop21.8
End6.7
red by 14.0
4192
#16
27.10.7
25.626.3
Auto5.4
Teleop16.4
End5.3
Third
9156
#23
29.40.2
28.829.0
Auto10.1
Teleop13.2
End6.0
red by 4.4
6369
#18
25.00.7
23.424.2
Auto7.2
Teleop10.4
End7.4