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Red162
667260.7
561321.8
300568.8
Blue105
912838.9
14849.6
910533.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16711750100150200250162105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.80.3
68.468.7
Auto14.9
Teleop44.8
End9.0
red by 19.1
148
#5
49.60.2
47.647.4
Auto13.8
Teleop25.0
End10.9
Second
60.70.3
60.360.6
Auto17.0
Teleop36.0
End7.6
red by 21.8
9128
#28
38.90.2
36.936.6
Auto7.7
Teleop26.1
End5.1
Third
5613
#30
21.80.3
21.421.7
Auto2.5
Teleop12.7
End6.6
blue by 12.0
9105
#21
33.70.2
31.731.5
Auto8.5
Teleop18.1
End7.1