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Red112
881919.2
589246.3
147750.2
Blue121
817742.9
62441.6
459725.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126115050100150200250112121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#10
50.20.1
50.650.5
Auto13.9
Teleop29.7
End6.3
red by 7.2
42.90.1
42.842.9
Auto10.9
Teleop23.0
End9.1
Second
46.30.1
46.746.6
Auto11.3
Teleop26.2
End8.8
red by 4.7
624
#17
41.60.1
41.441.6
Auto11.2
Teleop22.7
End7.5
Third
8819
#25
19.20.1
19.719.6
Auto5.9
Teleop8.3
End5.1
blue by 6.1
4597
#15
25.30.1
25.125.3
Auto5.1
Teleop13.0
End7.2