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Red126
384750.6
258514.6
11862.8
Blue114
258332.2
801936.9
882719.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1438550100200126114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
62.80.1
62.562.4
Auto18.6
Teleop34.1
End9.8
red by 25.9
36.90.5
36.536.9
Auto12.1
Teleop17.8
End7.0
Second
50.60.1
50.350.2
Auto11.5
Teleop31.0
End8.1
red by 18.4
2583
#13
32.20.5
31.732.2
Auto8.8
Teleop14.3
End9.1
Third
2585
#31
14.60.1
14.314.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.6
End6.3
blue by 5.1
8827
#23
19.60.5
19.219.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End5.4