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Red56
258316.3
461025.6
557229.1
Blue157
680036.8
999127.1
637744.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7311905010015020025056157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5572
#16
29.11.2
29.828.6
Auto10.2
Teleop12.8
End6.2
blue by 15.5
44.63.5
46.049.5
Auto11.3
Teleop25.8
End7.1
Second
4610
#26
25.61.2
26.925.7
Auto6.3
Teleop13.5
End5.9
blue by 11.2
6800
#12
36.83.5
32.235.7
Auto8.6
Teleop21.0
End7.5
Third
2583
#19
16.31.2
17.416.2
Auto5.7
Teleop6.3
End4.4
blue by 10.8
27.15.8
21.627.4
Auto8.2
Teleop13.8
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed26%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
21%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsEarned