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Red63
5431B15.7
543127.3
61717.9
Blue103
419219.7
288147.0
129633.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47105015020025063103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
#24
27.30.8
31.131.8
Auto6.0
Teleop16.0
End5.1
blue by 19.7
47.00.4
41.942.3
Auto11.3
Teleop25.9
End9.3
Second
15.71.3
14.716.0
Auto1.7
Teleop9.9
End4.0
blue by 17.6
1296
#13
33.30.4
32.132.6
Auto11.8
Teleop14.4
End7.2
Third
6171
#22
7.90.8
5.66.4
Auto2.6
Teleop1.5
End4.0
blue by 11.8
4192
#18
19.70.4
17.417.9
Auto3.8
Teleop11.0
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed27%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed60%Activation oddsEarned