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Red109
61717.9
541436.6
331051.0
Blue37
887414.4
258316.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11240015020025010937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.6
51.452.0
Auto11.9
Teleop30.5
End8.0
red by 34.8
2583
#19
16.30.6
19.118.5
Auto5.7
Teleop6.3
End4.4
Second
36.60.6
36.937.5
Auto11.1
Teleop19.7
End5.9
red by 22.2
8874
#15
14.40.6
20.119.5
Auto2.2
Teleop7.5
End4.9
Third
6171
#22
7.90.6
6.67.2
Auto2.6
Teleop1.5
End4.0
red by 4.5
3.41.0
7.06.0
Auto2.9
Teleop-1.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
50%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned24%Activation oddsMissed