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Red60
680036.8
521213.9
461025.6
Blue127
541152.1
271449.1
419219.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7611805010015020025030060127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
#12
36.81.1
31.530.4
Auto8.6
Teleop21.0
End7.5
blue by 15.3
52.11.4
44.646.1
Auto11.8
Teleop30.0
End9.8
Second
4610
#26
25.61.1
29.828.8
Auto6.3
Teleop13.5
End5.9
blue by 23.5
49.11.4
45.046.4
Auto14.4
Teleop26.3
End7.8
Third
5212
#21
13.91.1
14.513.5
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End4.3
blue by 5.8
4192
#18
19.71.4
15.917.3
Auto3.8
Teleop11.0
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed44%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed87%Activation oddsEarned