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Red105
636939.8
637744.6
6377B20.6
Blue111
999216.4
288147.0
999127.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117580100150200250105111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.60.2
43.743.6
Auto11.3
Teleop25.8
End7.1
blue by 2.4
47.02.7
38.441.1
Auto11.3
Teleop25.9
End9.3
Second
39.80.2
33.833.6
Auto10.4
Teleop20.3
End9.2
red by 12.7
27.14.6
14.519.0
Auto8.2
Teleop13.8
End5.6
Third
20.60.3
25.325.0
Auto6.2
Teleop8.9
End5.6
red by 4.2
9992
#11
16.44.6
17.121.7
Auto3.3
Teleop9.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
54%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned18%Activation oddsEarned