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Red71
5431B15.7
680036.8
887414.4
Blue119
331051.0
9492B18.4
887919.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions649005010015020071119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
#12
36.80.5
30.430.9
Auto8.6
Teleop21.0
End7.5
blue by 14.3
51.01.2
52.053.2
Auto11.9
Teleop30.5
End8.0
Second
15.70.8
13.614.4
Auto1.7
Teleop9.9
End4.0
blue by 3.5
8879
#20
19.21.2
16.317.5
Auto6.5
Teleop7.7
End5.3
Third
8874
#15
14.40.5
19.520.0
Auto2.2
Teleop7.5
End4.9
blue by 3.9
18.42.0
12.814.8
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsMissed57%Activation oddsEarned