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Red123
999216.4
637744.6
271449.1
Blue87
543127.3
174536.0
541436.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110110608010012014012387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.10.8
46.447.2
Auto14.4
Teleop26.3
End7.8
red by 12.4
36.61.5
37.536.0
Auto11.1
Teleop19.7
End5.9
Second
44.60.8
43.644.3
Auto11.3
Teleop25.8
End7.1
red by 8.6
1745
#14
36.01.5
39.638.1
Auto8.0
Teleop20.6
End7.2
Third
9992
#11
16.41.3
21.723.0
Auto3.3
Teleop9.5
End4.0
blue by 10.9
5431
#24
27.31.5
32.430.9
Auto6.0
Teleop16.0
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsEarned45%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned