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Red119
999127.1
129633.3
557229.1
Blue109
543127.3
271449.1
6377B20.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99965060708090110120130119109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#13
33.30.4
32.332.6
Auto11.8
Teleop14.4
End7.2
blue by 15.8
49.10.3
48.749.0
Auto14.4
Teleop26.3
End7.8
Second
5572
#16
29.10.4
28.128.5
Auto10.2
Teleop12.8
End6.2
red by 1.9
5431
#24
27.30.3
26.927.2
Auto6.0
Teleop16.0
End5.1
Third
27.10.6
25.426.0
Auto8.2
Teleop13.8
End5.6
red by 6.5
20.60.4
18.418.8
Auto6.2
Teleop8.9
End5.6