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Red90
258316.3
637744.6
331051.0
Blue125
541436.6
9492B18.4
174536.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1279505015020025090125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.7
51.951.2
Auto11.9
Teleop30.5
End8.0
red by 14.4
36.60.4
36.837.2
Auto11.1
Teleop19.7
End5.9
Second
44.60.7
45.444.8
Auto11.3
Teleop25.8
End7.1
red by 8.6
1745
#14
36.00.4
36.136.5
Auto8.0
Teleop20.6
End7.2
Third
2583
#19
16.30.7
17.116.5
Auto5.7
Teleop6.3
End4.4
blue by 2.1
18.40.4
18.619.0
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End7.7