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Red163
62466.7
45630.1
300570.9
Blue160
288158.1
637757.6
589236.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177157100200250163160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#11
70.90.0
70.670.5
Auto17.2
Teleop47.3
End4.7
red by 12.8
58.10.1
58.058.1
Auto11.7
Teleop35.7
End9.3
Second
624
#1
66.70.0
66.366.3
Auto14.4
Teleop40.6
End10.6
red by 9.1
57.60.1
57.557.6
Auto14.1
Teleop32.9
End9.9
Third
456
#21
30.10.0
29.829.7
Auto7.9
Teleop12.6
End9.7
blue by 6.3
5892
#18
36.40.1
36.336.5
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End9.1