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Red158
589236.4
637757.6
288158.1
Blue131
11864.3
808830.0
900136.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16413450100150200250158131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.10.0
58.158.0
Auto11.7
Teleop35.7
End9.3
blue by 6.2
118
#5
64.30.0
64.364.3
Auto16.6
Teleop36.2
End9.9
Second
57.60.0
57.557.5
Auto14.1
Teleop32.9
End9.9
red by 21.5
36.00.0
36.036.0
Auto11.2
Teleop18.0
End7.2
Third
5892
#18
36.40.0
36.436.3
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End9.1
red by 6.4
8088
#17
30.00.0
30.030.0
Auto7.1
Teleop16.8
End6.3