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Red62
458727.2
851531.8
999528.0
Blue109
384748.1
62466.7
912113.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51151010020062109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.2
20.320.1
Auto10.9
Teleop14.9
End6.2
blue by 34.9
624
#1
66.71.3
62.861.5
Auto14.4
Teleop40.6
End10.6
Second
9995
#16
28.00.4
18.718.3
Auto3.7
Teleop17.9
End6.8
blue by 20.0
3847
#25
48.11.3
52.451.1
Auto13.8
Teleop25.5
End8.1
Third
4587
#19
27.20.2
26.726.4
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End4.2
red by 14.2
9121
#13
13.01.3
14.012.6
Auto1.6
Teleop4.5
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed72%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsMissed81%Activation oddsEarned