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Red135
300570.9
637757.6
541733.9
Blue134
288158.1
900136.0
589236.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18112150100150200250135134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#11
70.92.3
73.471.1
Auto17.2
Teleop47.3
End4.7
red by 12.8
58.10.5
53.153.6
Auto11.7
Teleop35.7
End9.3
Second
57.62.3
56.654.3
Auto14.1
Teleop32.9
End9.9
red by 21.2
5892
#18
36.40.5
40.340.9
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End9.1
Third
5417
#29
33.92.3
39.737.4
Auto10.5
Teleop18.7
End4.5
blue by 2.2
36.00.7
27.428.1
Auto11.2
Teleop18.0
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsEarned39%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsMissed68%Activation oddsEarned