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Red41
348121.1
433643.6
918111.6
Blue85
71256.9
749225.7
875013.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107380501504185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4336
#30
43.63.4
50.046.6
Auto12.2
Teleop24.5
End6.0
red by 17.8
7492
#14
25.72.7
21.324.0
Auto6.1
Teleop15.6
End4.4
Second
3481
#26
21.13.4
23.319.9
Auto6.9
Teleop7.4
End7.1
red by 7.2
8750
#34
13.82.7
15.618.3
Auto8.9
Teleop3.0
End2.1
Third
9181
#37
11.63.4
19.215.8
Auto5.1
Teleop2.8
End3.9
red by 4.7
7125
#36
6.92.7
7.610.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.1
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
88%Activation oddsMissed10%Activation oddsEarned