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Red133
348121.1
258245.2
288158.1
Blue105
433643.6
463929.9
999528.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13781050100150200133105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.10.8
54.455.2
Auto11.7
Teleop35.7
End9.3
red by 14.6
4336
#30
43.61.1
46.647.7
Auto12.2
Teleop24.5
End6.0
Second
2582
#23
45.20.8
46.947.7
Auto10.9
Teleop23.7
End9.9
red by 15.3
29.91.1
23.724.8
Auto8.1
Teleop15.0
End7.1
Third
3481
#26
21.10.8
19.420.2
Auto6.9
Teleop7.4
End7.1
blue by 7.0
9995
#16
28.01.8
18.320.1
Auto3.7
Teleop17.9
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
59%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsEarned