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Red131
857634.3
258734.7
62466.7
Blue86
582926.5
749225.7
11864.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13911905010015020013186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#1
66.70.2
61.461.6
Auto14.4
Teleop40.6
End10.6
red by 2.4
118
#5
64.35.4
66.060.6
Auto16.6
Teleop36.2
End9.9
Second
2587
#12
34.70.2
30.030.2
Auto11.2
Teleop16.7
End7.0
red by 8.2
5829
#32
26.51.9
29.527.6
Auto9.1
Teleop13.2
End4.6
Third
8576
#20
34.30.2
36.036.2
Auto8.8
Teleop19.4
End6.4
red by 8.5
7492
#14
25.71.9
22.420.5
Auto6.1
Teleop15.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
80%Sustainability oddsEarned81%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsMissed