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Red129
680045.8
258326.7
300570.9
Blue100
582926.5
258245.2
875013.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17382050100150200250129100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#11
70.91.5
71.770.2
Auto17.2
Teleop47.3
End4.7
red by 25.7
2582
#23
45.20.8
47.448.2
Auto10.9
Teleop23.7
End9.9
Second
6800
#28
45.81.5
50.649.0
Auto9.1
Teleop30.4
End6.6
red by 19.2
5829
#32
26.50.8
25.326.2
Auto9.1
Teleop13.2
End4.6
Third
2583
#35
26.71.5
29.828.2
Auto7.1
Teleop14.1
End5.6
red by 12.8
8750
#34
13.80.8
14.715.5
Auto8.9
Teleop3.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
91%Sustainability oddsEarned34%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsMissed63%Activation oddsEarned