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Red133
541454.0
808830.0
749225.7
Blue92
900136.0
999528.0
147750.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031135015020013392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.02.4
48.250.6
Auto12.1
Teleop33.7
End8.0
red by 3.6
1477
#15
50.41.0
48.647.5
Auto13.9
Teleop30.2
End5.4
Second
8088
#17
30.02.4
26.028.4
Auto7.1
Teleop16.8
End6.3
blue by 6.0
36.01.0
31.130.0
Auto11.2
Teleop18.0
End7.2
Third
7492
#14
25.72.4
22.625.1
Auto6.1
Teleop15.6
End4.4
blue by 2.3
9995
#16
28.01.7
27.726.0
Auto3.7
Teleop17.9
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsEarned24%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsMissed