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Red71
71256.9
851531.8
999432.8
Blue135
463929.9
857634.3
637757.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53133010015020071135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9994
#27
32.81.0
31.332.3
Auto10.6
Teleop14.9
End7.4
blue by 24.8
57.61.0
53.354.4
Auto14.1
Teleop32.9
End9.9
Second
31.80.6
24.525.1
Auto10.9
Teleop14.9
End6.2
blue by 2.5
8576
#20
34.31.0
35.936.9
Auto8.8
Teleop19.4
End6.4
Third
7125
#36
6.90.6
6.47.0
Auto3.0
Teleop4.1
End-0.0
blue by 23.1
29.91.0
25.526.5
Auto8.1
Teleop15.0
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed63%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
27%Activation oddsMissed76%Activation oddsEarned