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Red191
62466.7
45630.1
300570.9
Blue140
147750.4
258734.7
749225.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18010350150200250191140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#11
70.90.7
69.069.7
Auto17.2
Teleop47.3
End4.7
red by 20.5
1477
#15
50.40.8
48.549.2
Auto13.9
Teleop30.2
End5.4
Second
624
#1
66.70.7
64.865.5
Auto14.4
Teleop40.6
End10.6
red by 32.0
2587
#12
34.70.8
32.833.5
Auto11.2
Teleop16.7
End7.0
Third
456
#21
30.10.7
28.228.9
Auto7.9
Teleop12.6
End9.7
red by 4.4
7492
#14
25.70.8
23.824.6
Auto6.1
Teleop15.6
End4.4