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Red103
541454.0
463929.9
752234.2
Blue120
11864.3
808830.0
900136.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12613850100150200103120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.00.4
54.354.0
Auto12.1
Teleop33.7
End8.0
blue by 10.3
118
#5
64.30.2
63.763.5
Auto16.6
Teleop36.2
End9.9
Second
7522
#22
34.20.4
34.534.2
Auto13.0
Teleop17.4
End3.9
blue by 1.9
36.00.2
35.935.7
Auto11.2
Teleop18.0
End7.2
Third
29.90.4
30.329.9
Auto8.1
Teleop15.0
End7.1
blue by 0.1
8088
#17
30.00.2
29.829.6
Auto7.1
Teleop16.8
End6.3