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Red160
62468.7
373526.4
851533.9
Blue147
32439.3
288153.0
541448.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1351500100200300400500600160147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#3
68.70.6
68.068.7
Auto15.8
Teleop41.8
End9.8
red by 15.6
53.00.2
52.853.0
Auto11.3
Teleop31.7
End8.8
Second
8515
#18
33.90.6
33.333.9
Auto11.6
Teleop18.0
End4.5
blue by 14.3
5414
#21
48.20.2
48.048.2
Auto11.7
Teleop28.4
End8.1
Third
3735
#14
26.40.6
25.826.4
Auto5.3
Teleop14.7
End6.7
blue by 12.8
324
#24
39.30.2
39.139.3
Auto9.4
Teleop20.9
End8.8