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Red153
62468.7
373526.4
851533.9
Blue140
32439.3
288153.0
541448.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331500100200300400500153140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#3
68.70.6
67.468.0
Auto15.8
Teleop41.8
End9.8
red by 15.6
53.00.0
52.852.8
Auto11.3
Teleop31.7
End8.8
Second
8515
#18
33.90.6
32.733.3
Auto11.6
Teleop18.0
End4.5
blue by 14.3
5414
#21
48.20.0
48.048.0
Auto11.7
Teleop28.4
End8.1
Third
3735
#14
26.40.6
25.225.8
Auto5.3
Teleop14.7
End6.7
blue by 12.8
324
#24
39.30.0
39.039.1
Auto9.4
Teleop20.9
End8.8