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Red64
635741.0
999516.5
999617.2
Blue118
62468.7
582935.9
741821.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6913005010015020064118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.00.5
42.041.6
Auto13.1
Teleop21.2
End6.5
blue by 27.6
624
#3
68.70.3
66.767.0
Auto15.8
Teleop41.8
End9.8
Second
9996
#34
17.20.8
13.913.1
Auto3.7
Teleop10.7
End2.9
blue by 18.8
5829
#9Sur
35.90.3
27.227.5
Auto11.6
Teleop16.9
End7.5
Third
9995
#27Sur
16.50.8
15.414.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.0
End3.3
blue by 4.5
7418
#10
21.00.3
20.220.5
Auto2.2
Teleop11.6
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed56%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned