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Red125
11865.5
876919.2
817745.0
Blue98
772514.0
680039.4
463932.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1507905010020025012598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
65.50.9
66.065.1
Auto15.8
Teleop38.3
End10.2
red by 26.1
6800
#22
39.40.7
40.841.5
Auto8.4
Teleop23.4
End7.9
Second
8177
#33
45.00.9
50.449.5
Auto10.9
Teleop26.5
End6.6
red by 12.3
4639
#11
32.70.7
31.932.6
Auto8.9
Teleop16.9
End7.2
Third
8769
#17
19.20.9
17.316.4
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End5.3
red by 5.2
7725
#28
14.00.7
10.210.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.6
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
79%Sustainability oddsEarned16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsMissed45%Activation oddsEarned