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Red93
817745.0
463932.7
999723.6
Blue127
542745.8
458727.1
147753.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10113405015020025093127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8177
#33
45.00.7
47.546.8
Auto10.9
Teleop26.5
End6.6
blue by 8.9
53.80.2
48.448.2
Auto13.4
Teleop33.9
End6.1
Second
4639
#11
32.70.7
31.931.2
Auto8.9
Teleop16.9
End7.2
blue by 13.1
45.80.2
43.743.4
Auto10.7
Teleop24.9
End10.0
Third
9997
#20
23.61.2
24.022.8
Auto10.3
Teleop9.7
End3.7
blue by 3.5
4587
#15
27.10.2
28.928.7
Auto8.0
Teleop15.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsMissed54%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
47%Activation oddsMissed67%Activation oddsEarned