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Red52
268929.2
999516.5
749227.2
Blue176
62468.7
288153.0
11865.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61207010015025030052176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2689
#26
29.21.3
29.728.4
Auto7.4
Teleop16.2
End5.7
blue by 39.5
624
#3
68.70.4
67.567.1
Auto15.8
Teleop41.8
End9.8
Second
7492
#31
27.21.3
25.524.2
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End5.2
blue by 38.3
118
#1
65.50.4
65.364.9
Auto15.8
Teleop38.3
End10.2
Third
9995
#27
16.52.2
16.714.4
Auto4.5
Teleop9.0
End3.3
blue by 36.5
53.00.4
53.953.5
Auto11.3
Teleop31.7
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed99%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed96%Activation oddsEarned