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Red86
742136.9
999919.4
582935.9
Blue79
887927.9
91218.6
876919.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645102040801008679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7421
#30
36.90.4
34.134.5
Auto6.8
Teleop25.9
End4.1
red by 9.0
8879
#25
27.91.5
23.324.7
Auto8.1
Teleop13.6
End6.3
Second
35.90.4
28.729.1
Auto11.6
Teleop16.9
End7.5
red by 16.7
8769
#17
19.21.5
17.719.2
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End5.3
Third
9999
#23
19.40.6
17.718.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.1
End6.7
red by 10.8
9121
#35
8.61.5
6.07.4
Auto0.2
Teleop3.3
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned27%Activation oddsMissed