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Red131
258741.8
999815.2
147753.8
Blue79
458727.1
999617.2
268757.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10410370809010011012013013179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.82.3
48.250.4
Auto13.4
Teleop33.9
End6.1
blue by 3.9
2687
#12
57.71.5
58.356.9
Auto11.3
Teleop38.7
End7.2
Second
41.82.3
36.438.6
Auto12.9
Teleop21.6
End7.4
red by 14.7
4587
#15
27.11.5
28.727.2
Auto8.0
Teleop15.6
End3.8
Third
9998
#32
15.23.8
12.316.1
Auto5.1
Teleop6.9
End3.4
blue by 1.9
9996
#34
17.22.4
14.111.6
Auto3.7
Teleop10.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
49%Sustainability oddsEarned35%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsMissed